by Michael Hayes
Professor of Political Science
My research focuses on the public policy process with a
particular emphasis on something called “incrementalism.” According to the model’s originator, Charles
Lindblom, rational decision-making is typically precluded by disagreements
among participants over how we should make value tradeoffs and what
consequences will flow from various policy alternatives. As a result, policies emerge instead from a
highly pluralistic and conflictual process in which a multiplicity of
participants with different values, perspectives, information, and interests
contend over policy. Participants tend
to focus on proposals that differ only marginally (incrementally) from previous
policies, partly because larger changes are political nonstarters and partly
because building on past policies enables us to learn from experience,
evaluating what worked and what did not and modifying policies accordingly.
For
this political process to yield “good” results, three conditions must be met:
1) all interests affected by a policy must be represented in the policy-making
process;
2) there must be no significant inequalities in power or influence among
the players; and
3) the policy process must permit frequent reevaluation of
policies and modification where necessary.
Policy outcomes are typically incremental changes at best; how could
they be otherwise where attention is limited to incremental alternatives and
participants then bargain and compromise?
Large (nonincremental) change is still possible, however, through a
succession of smaller steps that accumulate over time. Although it is impossible to “solve” problems
fully through a once-and-for-all rational process, this is not as disabling as
it seems because we can converge on solutions over time through subsequent
policy cycles. (Lindblom calls this iterative process seriality).
If
rational decision-making is in fact impossible most of the time, the real
question is not whether to operate through incrementalism (which is basically
inevitable) but rather how to make sure incrementalism is operating
properly. As noted above, this means all
affected interests must be represented, major imbalances in power among
interests need to be remedied, and the political system must allow for periodic
reevaluation and modification of policies.
While
all of us, I think, would like to make sure Colgate is a welcoming place for
all students, we also value academic freedom in the classroom. This creates a potential value tradeoff: to what extent do we have to limit free
speech in order to accommodate student sensibilities? How do we arrive at a
proper balance? There are also disagreements over consequences of various
approaches. Will policies embodying zero
tolerance for hate speech end up curbing the pursuit of truth in the classroom? Will faculty members worried about how
students might react to topics they raise respond by avoiding certain topics altogether?
Can we find ways to curb undesirable speech without suppressing desirable
speech?
How
can we say what the “best” policy is where two or more sides adhere to very
different values? And how can we be sure which alternative to choose when we
don’t know enough to predict their respective consequences accurately? Under
such circumstances it is smart to build on past policies, confining our
attention to modifications that differ only slightly from the status quo. Radical new steps (“We will do this!”)
galvanize opposition. More important, people who should be on the same
side—because we really do all want to make Colgate a welcoming place while
protecting academic freedom—end up polarizing in opposition to one another.
As
we move forward we need to be realistic about the reality of tradeoffs among
values that we cherish as well as the limitations on our ability to predict
consequences of any policy we adopt. We
should build on a past policy that gets many things right—more than statements
from the administration would imply. And
as we address this important issue over the next few months we need to make
sure all affected interests have a voice in the discussion and that no groups
are disempowered. Above all, we have to design an ongoing process that permits
us to revisit these enduring issues on a regular basis, permitting us to learn
from inevitable mistakes and modify policies accordingly. No one should expect to get everything they
want from this first round of discussions; indeed, if anyone gets everything
they want from it, the process will not have worked properly. At the same time,
no one should expect us to get this right the first time; unanticipated and
often undesirable consequences will flow out of any procedures we adopt. The
key is to treat this as an ongoing process of trial-and-error, of convergence
over time on a workable policy, rather than a pitched battle between polarized
groups determined to prevail. I think we are all better than that.
1 comment:
This is a wise and extremely useful commentary. The administration may think they have solved a range of problems, but in fact any real forward movement will have to be collegial and based on processes of discussion and mutual adjustment, or the result will be more polarization, more grievances that go unspoken or are taken outside the governance system, and more mutual estrangement.
Of course, that sort of collegial shared decision making is anathema to our administrators.
My fear is that by appearing to get behind the students' movement and its grievances (which still need to be publicly enumerated and discussed), our administration is really (a) co-opting a legitimate and potentially extremely useful movement (in effect, "we've thought of all this already in our plans and initiatives, so leave it to us"), and (b) using that movement to advance its centralizing agenda. Just as one example, some parts of the campus community will apparently now be subjected to compulsory "diversity training", whatever that might mean; did anyone ask them about that? Did anyone take time to find out the actual depth and sources of diversity problems within those constituencies?
Indeed, what does this administration mean by "diversity", and how does it relate to our many other goals and values -- notably, the robust exchange and contention of ideas?
I have a sense that we'll be waiting a long time for any answers.
Thanks to Michael Hayes for his commentary. Readers would do well to go back and ponder his three points about what is required for a constructive process of response.
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